28th Alberta general election


28th Alberta general election
28th Alberta general election
Alberta
2008 ←
members
28th
→ 29th

87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta
44 seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Alison Redford profile headshot.jpg Raj Sherman cropped.jpg Danielle Smith in 2011 cropped.jpg
Leader Alison Redford Raj Sherman Danielle Smith
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal Wildrose
Leader since October 2, 2011 September 10, 2011 October 17, 2009
Leader's seat Calgary-Elbow Edmonton-Meadowlark running in Highwood
Last election 72 seats, 52.7% 9 seats, 26.4% 0 seats, 6.8%
Current seats 67 9 4

  Brian Mason.jpg Albertaparty logo.svg
Leader Brian Mason Glenn Taylor
Party NDP Alberta Party
Leader since September 2004 May 28, 2011
Leader's seat Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood running in West Yellowhead
Last election 2 seats, 8.5% 0 seats, 0.0%
Current seats 2 1

Incumbent Premier

Alison Redford
Progressive Conservative

The 28th general election in Alberta, Canada, will take place when the Premier formally advises the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the Legislative Assembly.

In accordance with Section Four of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms, no assembly may continue for longer than five years from the return of the writs, which was March 13, 2008,[1] making an election probable for 2012.[2][3] Upon the expiration of the Legislature, on March 13, 2013, the Lieutenant Governor is not required to call an election; however, Section Five of the 1982 charter requires an assembly to sit once every twelve months. Newly selected Premier, Alison Redford, has stated she intends to pass legislation fixing elections in the spring of the fourth calendar year. However, unlike the other fixed election date legislation in Canada, the proposed legislation would fix the election to a three month period, between March 1 and May 31.[4][5][6] This would place the election in 2012.

Contents

Background

27th Legislature

The 27th Alberta Legislature saw a series of unpopular and controversial pieces of legislation that led to a significant decline in the polls for the governing Progressive Conservative Association (PC) and the popularity of numbers of Premier Ed Stelmach.

The Wildrose Party has been the primary beneficiary of voter migration in opinion polls from the governing party, after former leader Paul Hinman won a by-election and the party elected Danielle Smith in a leadership convention followed by the floor crossing of two government members to the party.

On January 4, 2010, the Wildrose caucus became the third place party displacing the Alberta New Democrat caucus who held third party status in the Legislature since 1997.

Green Party dispute

A year after the previous general election The Green Party became mired in an internal dispute that resulted in the collapse and de-registration of the party despite the party achieving historical record poll numbers. Some of the former Green party executive, including former deputy leader Edwin Erickson, ended up with the new Alberta Party.

Election summary

Party Party leader # of
candidates
Seats Popular vote
2008 Current Elected % Change # % % Change
     Progressive Conservative Alison Redford 72 67
     Liberal Raj Sherman 9 9
     Wildrose Danielle Smith - 4
     New Democrats Brian Mason 2 2
     Alberta Party Glenn Taylor - 1
     Social Credit Len Skowronski - -
     Separation Bruce Hutton - -
     Communist Naomi Rankin - -
     Independent - -
Vacant -  
Total 83 83 87 +4.8 100.00%

Timeline

  • December 12, 2008: Calgary-Mountain View MLA David Swann wins the Leadership of the Alberta Liberals replacing Kevin Taft.
  • May 15, 2009: Calgary-Glenmore MLA Ron Stevens resigns to accept a judgeship.
  • July 16, 2009: The Green Party of Alberta is deregistered by Elections Alberta.
  • July 18, 2009: Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo MLA Guy Boutilier is removed from the Progressive Conservative caucus.
  • August 29, 2009: Robert Leddy is chosen as the interim leader of the Alberta Party replacing Bruce Stubbs.[7]
  • September 14, 2009: A by-election in Calgary-Glenmore elects Wildrose Alliance interim leader Paul Hinman.
  • October 17, 2009: The Wildrose Alliance selects Danielle Smith to replace Paul Hinman as leader in a convention in Edmonton.
  • November 7, 2009: A leadership review of Premier Ed Stelmach is held at a PC convention in Edmonton. He garners 77.4% support.
  • January 4, 2010: MLAs Rob Anderson and Heather Forsyth defect from the PC to the Wildrose Alliance.[8]
  • January 28, 2010: Edwin Erickson is acclaimed as leader of the Alberta Party replacing Robert Leddy.
  • February 24, 2010: Alberta Boundaries Commission releases its interim report on new provincial boundaries.
  • April 12, 2010: Calgary-Currie MLA Dave Taylor leaves the Liberal caucus to sit as an independent.
  • June 25, 2010: PC, turned Independent, MLA Guy Boutilier joins the Wildrose Alliance.[9]
  • November 22, 2010: Edmonton-Meadowlark MLA Raj Sherman is removed from the Progressive Conservative caucus.
  • November 24, 2010: Sue Huff becomes interim Alberta Party leader after Edwin Erickson resigns.
  • December 1, 2010: The Legislative Assembly passes a bill outlining 87 electoral districts,[10] up from the current 83. The last re-distribution was in 2004.
  • January 24, 2011: Calgary-Currie MLA Dave Taylor sits as Alberta Party's first MLA.
  • January 25, 2011: Premier Ed Stelmach announces his intention not to run for re-election, and announces he will resign his post as Premier when a successor has been chosen at a leadership convention.[11][12]
  • February 1, 2011: David Swann, Leader of the Alberta Liberal Party, announces his intention to step down as leader after the spring 2011 legislative session, though still acting as an MLA from Calgary-Mountain View.[13]
  • May 28, 2011: Glenn Taylor is named leader of the Alberta Party.[14]
  • June 26, 2011: The Wildrose Alliance Party votes to change its name to Wildrose Party.[15]
  • September 10, 2011: Raj Sherman is elected leader of the Liberal Party.
  • September 12, 2011: Independent MLA Raj Sherman joins the Liberal caucus.[16]
  • October 1, 2011: Alison Redford is elected leader of the PC Association.
  • October 7, 2011: Redford is sworn in as premier.[17]

MLAs not running again

Alberta Party

Liberal

Progressive Conservative

Opinion polls

Graphic representation of the opinion polls.
Polling Firm Date of Polling Link PC Liberal Wildrose NDP Alberta Other
Angus Reid Strategies October 17-19, 2011 PDF 44 16 22 13 2 3
Lethbridge College October 1-2, 2011 PDF 47.7 13.4 16.1 16.3 3.1 3.4
Think HQ Public Affairs September 19-24 2011 HTML 40 14 24 16 3 3
Environics July 15-24, 2011 HTML 54 13.5 16 13.5 2 1
Think HQ Public Affairs July 2011 HTML 39 11 30 14 4 2
Abingdon[21] May 20-24, 2011 HTML 33.5 15.1 28.6 14.7 5.2 2.9
Environics January 20-31, 2011 HTML 38 22 26 10 4
Environics Nov 22-Dec 2, 2010 HTML 34 19 32 13 2
Lethbridge College October 2-3, 2010 PDF 36.1 20.7 24 10.8 8.4
Environics May 2, 2010 HTML 34 23 28 12 3
Environics March 9, 2010 HTML 34 23 30 10 2*
Angus Reid Strategies February 23, 2010 PDF 27 19 42 9 3
Angus Reid Strategies December 11, 2009 HTML 25 25 39 9 2
Environics October 19-31, 2009 PDF 34 20 28 9 8*
Return on Insight (ROI) October 2009 HTML 34 20 25 10 11*
Lethbridge College /
Athabasca University
October 2009 PDF 38.4 20.8 21.5 10.7 8.5
Angus Reid Strategies April 2009 HTML 56 19 7 11 7*
Environics December 2008 HTML 62 16 3 6 14*
Environics October 2008 HTML 59 17 6 11 7*
Environics June 2008 HTML 48 25 7 10 10*
Environics March 2008 HTML 54 22 10 10 5*
Election 2008 March 3, 2008 52.66 26.37 6.77 8.52 0.00 5.70*

*These figures include support for the now defunct Alberta Green Party, which was included as an option in these surveys.

Candidates running for nomination

Bold incumbents indicates cabinet members and party leaders are italicized. Only candidates who have been quoted as running are listed.

Northern Alberta

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal Wildrose NDP Alberta
Party
Other
           
Athabasca-Sturgeon-Redwater Travis Olson[22] Mandy Melnyk[23][24][25] Jeff Johnson
Athabasca-Redwater
Barrhead-Morinville-Westlock Link Byfield[22] Ken Kowalski
Bonnyville-Cold Lake Chuck Farrer[26] Genia Leskiw
Dunvegan-Central-Peace-Notley Nathan Macklin [27] Hector Goudreau
Fort McMurray-Conklin New District
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo Guy Boutilier
Grande Prairie-Smoky Mary Dahr [28] Mel Knight
Grande Prairie-Wapiti Ethane Jarvis[22] Paula Anderson[29] Wayne Drysdale
Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills Shayne Saskiw[30] Ray Danyluk
Lac La Biche-St. Paul
Lesser Slave Lake Pearl Calahasen
Peace River Wanda Laurin[31] Frank Oberle

Western and Central Alberta

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal Wildrose NDP Alberta
Party
Other
           
Banff-Cochrane Trudy Hauser[22] Jamie Kleinsteuber[32] Timothy Johnson (Ind.)[33] Janis Tarchuk
Drayton Valley-Devon Dean Shular[22] Diana McQueen
Drayton Valley-Calmar
Chestermere-Rocky View Bruce McAllister[22] Ted Morton
Foothills-Rocky View
Merged District
Rob Anderson
Airdrie-Chestermere
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake Kerry Towle[22] Danielle Klooster[34] Luke Ouellette
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills Bruce Rowe[22] Richard Marz
Red Deer-North Derek Seelinger [35] Mary Anne Jablonski
Red Deer-South Lorna Watkinson-Zimmer [36] Serge Gingras [37] Cal Dallas
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre Joe Anglin[38] Ty Lund
Rocky Mountain House
Stony Plain Fred Lindsay
West Yellowhead Glenn Taylor[39] Robin Campbell
Whitecourt-Ste. Anne Maryann Chichak[22] George VanderBurg

East Central Alberta

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal Wildrose NDP Alberta
Party
Other
           
Battle River-Wainwright Doug Griffiths
Drumheller-Stettler Rick Strankman[22] Jack Hayden
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Shannon Stubbs[40] Linda Robinson [41] Ed Stelmach
Lacombe-Ponoka Rod Fox[42] Ray Prins
Leduc Beaumont George Rogers
Leduc-Beaumont-Devon
Vermilion-Lloydminster Lloyd Snelgrove[3] Danny Hozack[22] Lloyd Snelgrove
Wetaskiwin-Camrose Trevor Miller[22] Verlyn Olson

Central Edmonton

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal Wildrose NDP Alberta
Party
Other
           
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview Deron Bilous[43] Tony Vandermeer
Edmonton-Centre Barb de Groot[22] Laurie Blakeman
Edmonton-Glenora Bruce Miller[44] Ray Martin[45] Sue Huff[46] Heather Klimchuk
Edmonton-Gold Bar Marlin Schmidt[47] Hugh MacDonald
Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood Wayde Lever[22] Brian Mason
Edmonton-Mill Creek Gene Zwozdesky
Edmonton-Mill Woods Joanne Autio[22] Sandra Azocar[48] Carl Benito
Edmonton-Riverview John Corie[22] Lori Sigurdson[49] Kevin Taft
Edmonton-Rutherford Kyle McLeod[50] Melanie Samaroden[51] Michael Walters[52] Fred Horne
Edmonton-Strathcona Rachel Notley Rachel Notley

Suburban Edmonton and environs

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal Wildrose NDP Alberta
Party
Other
           
Edmonton-Calder David Eggen[53] Doug Elniski
Edmonton-Castle Downs John Oplanich[22] Thomas Lukaszuk
Edmonton-Decore Ed Ammar[54] Chris Bataluk[22] Ali Haymour[55] Janice Sarich
Edmonton-Ellerslie Naresh Bhardwaj
Edmonton-Manning Daryl Bonar[56] Cindy Olsen[57] Peter Sandhu
Edmonton-McClung John Hudson[58] David Xiao
Edmonton-Meadowlark Raj Sherman[59] Rick Newcombe[22] Raj Sherman
Edmonton-South West Sylvie Porbaix[60] New District
Edmonton-Whitemud Ian Crawford[22] Julia Necheff[61] David Hancock
Sherwood Park Garnett Genuis[22] Sarah Michelin [62] Iris Evans
Spruce Grove-St. Albert Bev Trudeau[63] Doug Horner
Spruce Grove-Sturgeon-St. Albert
St. Albert James Burrows[22] Nicole Bownes [64] Tim Osborne[65] Ken Allred
Strathcona-Sherwood Park Paul Nemetchek[22] Mike Scott [66] Dave Quest

Southern Alberta

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal Wildrose NDP Alberta
Party
Other
           
Airdrie Rob Anderson
Airdrie-Chestermere
Cardston-Taber-Warner Gary Bikman[22] Broyce Jacobs
Cypress-Medicine Hat Drew Barnes[22] Scott Raible[67] Leonard Mitzel
Lethbridge-East Bridget Pastoor[68] Kent Prestage[22] Tom Moffatt [69] Bridget Pastoor
Lethbridge-West Shannon Phillips[70] Greg Weadick
Little Bow Ian Donovan[22] Bev Muendel-Atherstone[71] Barry McFarland
Livingstone-Macleod Matthew Halton [72] Evan Berger
Medicine Hat Dennis Perrier[67] Rob Renner
Highwood Danielle Smith[73] George Groeneveld
Strathmore-Brooks Jason Hale[22] Arno Doerksen

Suburban Calgary

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal Wildrose NDP Alberta
Party
Other
           
Calgary-Bow Alana DeLong
Calgary-Cross Happy Mann[22] Yvonne Fritz
Calgary-Foothills Dustin Nau[22] Len Webber
Calgary-Fort Wayne Cao
Calgary-Hawkwood David Yager[22] New District
Calgary-Hays Arthur Johnston
Calgary-Greenway Ron Leech[22] Manmeet Bhullar
Calgary-Montrose
Calgary-Lougheed John Carpay[22] David Rodney
Calgary-Mackay-Nose Hill Roy Alexander[22] Collin Anderson[74] Teresa Woo-Paw
Calgary-Mackay
Merged district
Neil Brown
Calgary-Nose Hill
Calgary-McCall Darshan Kang
Calgary-North West Lindsay Blackett
Calgary-Shaw Cindy Ady
Calgary-South East Bill Jarvis[22] New District
Calgary-West Andrew Constantinidis[22] Ron Liepert

Central Calgary

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal Wildrose NDP Alberta
Party
Other
           
Calgary-Acadia Richard Jones[22] Jonathan Denis
Calgary-Egmont
Calgary-Buffalo Mike Blanchard[22] Kent Hehr
Calgary-Currie Corrie Adolph[22] Dave Taylor
Calgary-East Moe Amery
Calgary-Elbow Alison Redford
Calgary-Fish Creek Heather Forsyth
Calgary-Glenmore Paul Hinman
Calgary-Klein Jeremy Nixon[22] Marc Power[75] Kyle Fawcett
Calgary-North Hill
Calgary-Mountain View Shane McAllister[22] David Swann
Calgary-Northern Hills Prasad Panda[22] New District
Calgary-Varsity Justin Anderson[22] Harry Chase

References

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  72. ^ "Campaign Facebook Page". http://www.facebook.com/pages/Matthew-Halton-NDP/166483230106217?sk=info. 
  73. ^ Jason Fekete Wildrose Alliance Leader Danielle Smith to run in the rural riding in next provincial election Calgary Herald October 13, 2010
  74. ^ "Alberta NDP Candidate Collin Anderson". http://www.albertandp.ca/CollinAnderson/. Retrieved September 3, 2011. 
  75. ^ "Marc Power". http://marcpower.ca/. 

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