- Extreme longevity tracking
Extreme longevity tracking is the tracing and recording of claims of exceptionally long human lives (
longevity), as a branch of demography. Persons have been noted for tracking ' supercentenarians' (those aged 110+) for hundreds of years; some included quite famous persons noted in other fields. What was once a hobby in the Middle Agesbecame a more scientific endeavor in the 1870's with William Thoms. Alexander Graham Belldabbled in the field, among his many other pursuits. While long a back-burner field, noted names such as "Young and Bowerman" in the 1930's continued. The advent of the Guinness Book of World Records brought the tradition worldwide recognition. By the 1960s, some governments began tracking 'centenarians' as well as the 'oldest person' in the country (for example, Japanstarted in 1963; the UK in 1966). Today, many European nations, from Germanyto the Netherlands, track 'supercentenarians'. However, even some Western nations have lagged: major efforts in the USA only started in the last decade, and other federalized states such as Francehave not yet instituted such recordkeeping. Due to this, there remains room for 'unofficial' experts.
While supercentenarian tracking may seem esoteric to some peoplewho, recently society has recognized its use, in particular since the advent of
pensionpayments (beginning in Germany around 1870). Early trackers, however, focused either on myth-making or myth-busting; the goal was often to find out why some people lived so long and find the 'secret to long life.' Later, scientific inquiry found that in most cases, extreme ages, especially 115+, were all false. Only in recent decades has a population of persons 110+ emerged as a consistent reality (the first validated 110-year-old was in 1898, but as recently as the 1960's the 'oldest person' was as young as 109).
Currently, there is no scientific way to determine the chronological age of a human individual through scientific testing. Therefore, a system of documented recordkeeping is needed so that the ages of test subjects recruited for scientific studies can be considered accurate. When dealing with the extremes of data, often age misreporting can be the first and foremost issue. For example, the 2000 U.S. Census was considered generally reliable for younger ages, but by age 110, 90% of the cases or more were believed to be false (1,388 supercentenarians were reported, while Social Security reported only 139 persons aged 110 or older on their pension rolls at the time).
Demographers, therefore, have recognized that data of the extremes can only be considered accurate when systems of recordkeeping are compulsory (including 100% of the population) for at least 100 consecutive years. For example, Sweden began compulsory recordkeeping in 1749; the data is considered accurate since 1860 (Wilmoth, 1999). Prior to 1860, age claims in Sweden went as high as 147.
Whole-population data can therefore be divided into three periods: preliterate, transitional, and modern. In the preliterate period, records we kept only for the monarch and nobles, and the general populace was uneducated and undocumented. Gradually, as the expansion of tax rolls made the census a necessity (the Domesday of England, for example), governments long established saw the need to keep records for next the Middle Class and ultimately everyone. This period is called "transitional" because a significant percentage of the population had records of birth, marriage, baptism, etc. but a substantial proportion did not.
When a record system reaches near 100% coverage, that system is said to be "modern." Currently, modern systems include those of nations such as England, Sweden, and Japan. Surprisingly, the USA is still in the transitional period: Universal birth registration was not compulsory until 1933, so the US will be in the transitional period until around 2050, by which time the data will become reliable even without age validation. Until that time, the age claim of the oldest person in the U.S. cannot be assumed to be valid without proof. In 2008, the oldest American claimant is Pearl Gartrell, who claims birth April 1, 1888 (and would therefore be 120 years old, if accurate) while the oldest verified living American is Edna Parker, born April 20, 1893 and 115 years old.
Comparatively, in the United Kingdom the oldest person is Florrie Baldwin, 112, while the oldest claimant, Montazi Hussain, an immigrant, is alleged to be 113. Although some nations are considered to have "modern" systems or recordkeeping, due to immigration from other nations, there is still a need for age validation.
History of Age Validation
*Prehistory and the age of myths
*Development of systems of recordkeeping
*1870s--William Thoms and a new skepticism
*1890s--Thomas Emley Young and actuarial science
**Thomas Emley Young was the president of the
Society of Actuaries, London, and the foremost supercentenarian researcher in his day. He continued the work of William Thoms and introduced the method of counting "years and days" for living centenarians and supercentenarians
*1918--Alexander Graham Bell
*1951--Paul Vincent and the method of extreme generations
*1966--Roger Thatcher and Vaino Kannisto develop the K-T Database
*1994-Bernard Jeune and the mortality trajectory hypothesis
Researchers and groups in the field include the
Gerontology Research Group(founded by L. Stephen Colesin 1990), the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research(founded by James Vaupelin 1996), the Supercentenarian Research Foundation (founded by Stan Primmer in 2004), Louis Epstein, Robert Douglas Young and Filipe Prista Lucas. Resources include the International Database on Longevity (founded by Jean-Marie Robinein 2005).
The following people are recognizedwho sources of data on supercentenarians at the national level:
* Filipe Prista Lucas (
* Giovanni Alunni (
* Laurent Toussaint (France)
* Miguel Quesada (
* Thomas Breining (Germany)
* Michel Poulain (
A. Ross Eckler, Jr.(with Guinness World Records 1950's to 1970's)
Biodemography of human longevity
Guinness World Records
List of the verified oldest men
List of the verified oldest people
*1879 William Thoms book (the original was in 1873):The Longevity of Man. Its Facts and Its Fictions. With a prefatory letter to Prof. Owen, C.B., F.R.S. on the limits and frequency of exceptional cases. London: F. Norgate, 1879.
*Reprint of 1898 magazine articlehttp://www.elderweb.com/home/node/2855
*1899 "On Centenarians"YOUNG, T.E. On Centenarians; and the Duration of the Human Race: A Fresh and Authentic Enquiry; with Historical Notes, Criticisms, and Speculations.
* New York Times article from 1909http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive-free/pdf?_r=1&res=9B01E5D91539E733A25755C1A9639C946897D6CF&oref=slogin
* 1995 book "Exceptional Longevity: From Prehistory to the Present"http://www.demogr.mpg.de/Papers/Books/Monograph2/start.htm
*Citation of "extinct generation method"http://books.google.com/books?id=afg66neQLt4C&pg=PA75&lpg=PA75&dq=Vincent%2B1951%2Bcentenarians&source=web&ots=nETObfOH6l&sig=XCv315Zoi3MR7ne_vyl8LfTYGWs&hl=en&sa=X&oi=book_result&resnum=4&ct=result
*1999 book "Validation of Exceptional Longevity"http://www.demogr.mpg.de/books/odense/6/
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