Foreign exchange option


Foreign exchange option

In finance, a foreign exchange option (commonly shortened to just FX option or currency option) is a derivative financial instrument where the owner has the right but not the obligation to exchange money denominated in one currency into another currency at a pre-agreed exchange rate on a specified date.

The FX options market is the deepest, largest and most liquid market for options of any kind in the world. Most of the FX option volume is traded OTC and is lightly regulated, but a fraction is traded on exchanges like the International Securities Exchange, Philadelphia Stock Exchange, or the Chicago Mercantile Exchange for options on futures contracts. The global market for exchange-traded currency options is notionally valued by the Bank for International Settlements at $158,300 billion in 2005Fact|date=July 2008.

Example

For example a GBPUSD FX option might be specified by a contract allowing the owner to sell £1,000,000 and buy $2,000,000 on December 31. In this case the pre-agreed exchange rate, or strike price, is 2.0000 GBPUSD or 0.5000 USDGBP and the notionals are £1,000,000 and $2,000,000 (£1,000,000 from the eyes of a USD investor, $2,000,000 from the eyes of a GBP investor).

This type of contract is both a call on dollars and a put on sterling, and is often called a GBPUSD put by market participants, as it is a put on the "exchange rate"; it could equally be called a USDGBP call, but isn't, as market convention is to quote the 2.0000 number (normal quote), not the 0.5000 number (inverse quote).

If the rate is lower than 2.0000 GBPUSD come December 31 (say at 1.9000 GBPUSD), meaning that the dollar is stronger and the pound is weaker, then the option will be exercised, allowing the owner to sell GBP at 2.0000 and immediately buy it back in the spot market at 1.9000, making a profit of (2.0000 USD/GBP - 1.9000 USD/GBP)*1,000,000 GBP = 100,000 USD in the process. If they immediately exchange their profit into GBP this amounts to 100,000/1.9000 = 52,631.58 GBP.

Terms

Generally in thinking about options, one assumes that one is buying an asset: for instance, you can have a call option on oil, which allows you to buy oil at a given price. One can consider this situation more symmetrically in FX, where one "exchanges": a put on GBPUSD allows one to exchange GBP for USD: it is at once a put on GBP and a call on USD.

As a vivid example: people usually consider that in a fast food restaurant, one buys hamburgers and pays in dollars, but one can instead say that the restaurant buys dollars and pays in hamburgers.

There are a number of subtleties that follow from this symmetry.;Ratio of notionals: The ratio of the notionals in an FX option is the "strike", not the current "spot" or "forward". Notably, when constructing an option strategy from FX options, one must be careful to match the "foreign" currency notionals, not the local currency notionals, else the foreign currencies received and delivered don't offset and one is left with residual risk.;Non-linear payoff: The payoff for a vanilla option is linear in the underlying, when one denominates the payout in a given numéraire. In the case of an FX option on a "rate", one must be careful of which currency is the underlying and which in the numéraire: in the above example, an option on GBPUSD gives a USD value that is linear in GBPUSD (a move from 2.0000 to 1.9000 yields a .10 * $2,000,000 / 2.0000 = $100,000 profit), but has a non-linear GBP value in GBPUSD. Conversely, the GBP value is linear in the USDGBP rate, while the USD value is non-linear in the USDGBP rate. This is because inverting a rate has the effect of x mapsto 1/x, which is non-linear.;Change of numéraire: the implied volatility of an FX option depends on the numéraire of the purchaser, again because of the non-linearity of x mapsto 1/x.

Hedging with FX options

Corporations primarily use FX options to hedge "uncertain" future cash flows in a foreign currency. The general rule is to hedge "certain" foreign currency cash flows with "forwards", and "uncertain" foreign cash flows with "options".

Suppose a United Kingdom manufacturing firm is expecting to be paid US$100,000 for a piece of engineering equipment to be delivered in 90 days. If the GBP strengthens against the US$ over the next 90 days the UK firm will lose money, as it will receive less GBP when the US$100,000 is converted into GBP. However, if the GBP weaken against the US$, then the UK firm will gain additional money: the firm is exposed to FX risk. Assuming that the cash flow is certain, the firm can enter into a forward contract to deliver the US$100,000 in 90 days time, in exchange for GBP at the current forward rate. This forward contract is free, and, presuming the expected cash arrives, exactly matches the firm's exposure, perfectly hedging their FX risk.

If the cash flow is uncertain, the firm will likely want to use options: if the firm enters a forward FX contract and the expected USD cash is "not" received, then the forward, instead of hedging, exposes the firm to FX risk in the "opposite" direction.

Using options, the UK firm can purchase a GBP call/USD put option (the right to sell part or all of their expected income for pounds sterling at a predetermined rate), which will:
* protect the GBP value that the firm will receive in 90 day's time (presuming the cash is received)
* cost at most the option premium (unlike a forward, which can have unlimited losses)
* yield a profit if the expected cash is not received but FX rates move in its favor

Valuing FX options: The Garman-Kohlhagen model

As in the Black-Scholes model for stock options and the Black model for certain interest rate options, the value of a European option on an FX rate is typically calculated by assuming that the rate follows a log-normal process.

In 1983 Garman and Kohlhagen extended the Black-Scholes model to cope with the presence of two interest rates (one for each currency). Suppose that rd is the risk-free interest rate to expiry of the domestic currency and rf is the foreign currency risk-free interest rate (where domestic currency is the currency in which we obtain the value of the option; the formula also requires that FX rates - both strike and current spot be quoted in terms of "units of domestic currency per unit of foreign currency"). Then the domestic currency value of a call option into the foreign currency is

:c = S_0exp(-r_f T)N(d_1) - Kexp(-r_d T)N(d_2)The value of a put option has value :p = Kexp(-r_d T)N(-d_2) - S_0exp(-r_f T)N(-d_1)where ::d_1 = frac{ln(S_0/K) + (r_d - r_f + sigma^2/2)T}{sigmasqrt{T:d_2 = d_1 - sigmasqrt{T}

:S_0 is the current spot rate:K is the strike price:N is the cumulative normal distribution function:r_d is domestic risk free simple interest rate:r_f is foreign risk free simple interest rate:T is the time to maturity (calculated according to the appropriate day count convention):and sigma is the volatility of the FX rate.

Risk Management

Garman-Kohlhagen (GK) is the standard model used to calculate the price of an FX option, however there are a wide range of techniques in use for calculating the options risk exposure, or greeks.Although the price produced by every model will agree, the risk numbers calculated by different models can vary significantly depending on the assumptions used for the properties of the spot price movements, volatility surface and interest rate curves.

After GK, the most common models in use are SABR and local volatility, although when agreeing risk numbers with a counterparty (e.g. for exchanging delta, or calculating the strike on a 25 delta option) the Garman-Kohlhagen numbers are always used.


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