Next Irish general election


Next Irish general election
Next Irish general election
Republic of Ireland
2011 ←
members
No later than 8 April 2016
→ Next

165 of 166 seats in Dáil Éireann
84 seats needed for a majority
  EPP Summit 18 June 2009 cropped.jpg Eamon Gilmore Conference 2010 cropped.jpg Micheál Martin.jpg
Leader Enda Kenny Eamon Gilmore Micheál Martin
Party Fine Gael Labour Party Fianna Fáil
Leader since 2 June 2002 6 September 2007 26 January 2011
Leader's seat Mayo Dún Laoghaire Cork South Central
Last election 76 seats, 36.1% 37 seats, 19.4% 20 seats, 17.4%

  Gerry Adams Easter Lily Badge cropped.jpg No image.png No image.png
Leader Gerry Adams Collective leadership None
Party Sinn Féin Socialist Party People Before Profit
Leader since 13 November 1983 N/A N/A
Leader's seat Louth N/A N/A
Last election 14 seats, 9.9% 2 seats, 1.2% 2 seats, 1.0%

 
Leader Séamus Healy
Party WUAG


Leader since 1985
Leader's seat Tipperary South
Last election 1 seat, 0.4%

Incumbent Taoiseach

Enda Kenny
Fine Gael

The next Irish general election must take place by 2016 at the latest. The election will be called following the dissolution of the 31st Dáil by the President, at the request of the Taoiseach. The electorate will elect the members of the 32nd Dáil who will assemble shortly afterwards to elect a Taoiseach following agreement on the Government of the 32nd Dáil.

Contents

Date

Section 7 of the Electoral (Amendment) Act, 1927 requires that the Dáil be dissolved within five years after its first meeting following the previous election (9 March 2011).[1] Article 16.3.2 of the Constitution of Ireland requires that a general election for members of Dáil Éireann must must take place not later than thirty days after the dissolution. The next general election must, therefore, take place no later than 8 April 2016.[2]

The current statutory framework for the setting of a date for polling day in the general election is set out in the Electoral Act 1992 (as amended). Section 96 of the Electoral Act 1992 requires that the poll is held, not earlier than the seventeenth day or later than the twenty-fifth day, following the day on which the writs for the election are issued. The writs for the election are issued by the Clerk of the Dáil on the day the Dáil is dissolved.

Electoral system

Ireland uses proportional representation with a single transferable vote, also known as PR–STV.[3] The general election will take place in 43 parliamentary constituencies throughout the state for 165 of the 166 Dáil Éireann seats. The Ceann Comhairle is automatically re-elected.[4] Each multi-member constituency returns three, four or five Teachtaí Dála or Dáil deputies.[3]

Opinion polls

The current government (since 9 March 2011) consists of a Fine GaelLabour Party coalition headed by Taoiseach Enda Kenny and Tánaiste Eamon Gilmore. Fianna Fáil, Sinn Féin, the United Left Alliance and independents form the opposition in the Dáil.

Date Source Polling Agency Fine Gael Labour Party Fianna Fáil Sinn Féin Ind./Others
25 October 2011 The Irish Times[5] Ipsos MRBI 36% 19% 15% 15% 15%
23 October 2011 The Sunday Business Post[6] RED C 31% 17% 14% 16% 22%
21 October 2011 The Sunday Times[7] Behaviour & Attitudes 37% 15% 15% 19% 14%
9 October 2011 The Sunday Times[8] Behaviour & Attitudes 36% 14% 15% 17% 17%
7 October 2011 The Irish Times[9] Ipsos MRBI 35% 17% 16% 18% 14%
25 September 2011 The Sunday Business Post[10] RED C 33% 16% 15% 15% 21%
17 September 2011 Sunday Independent[11] Millward Brown Lansdowne 40% 20% 10% 11% 19%
4 September 2011 The Sunday Times[12] Behaviour & Attitudes 44% 12% 15% 13% 14%
21 July 2011 The Irish Times[13] Ipsos MRBI 38% 18% 18% 10% 16%
22 June 2011 Irish Independent[14] Millward Brown Lansdowne 42% 19% 16% 11% 13%
29 May 2011 The Sunday Business Post[15] RED C 41% 19% 16% 11% 13%
10 April 2011 The Sunday Business Post[16] RED C 39% 18% 16% 11% 16%
25 February 2011 General election N/A 36.1% 19.4% 17.4% 9.9% 17.2%

References

  1. ^ "Electoral (Amendment) Act, 1927". Irish Statute Book database. http://www.irishstatutebook.ie/1927/en/act/pub/0021/sec0007.html#sec7. Retrieved 3 September 2010. 
  2. ^ Article 16.5 of the constitution states that the Dáil may sit for a period of up to seven years from its first meeting. It also allows a shorter period to be fixed by law, this is currently five years.
  3. ^ a b "Proportional Representation – Information". Irish Citizens Information Board. http://www.citizensinformation.ie/categories/government-in-ireland/elections-and-referenda/voting/proportional_representation. Retrieved 26 October 2008. 
  4. ^ Article 16.6 of the constitution requires that "provision shall be made by law" such that the Ceann Comhairle "be deemed without any actual election to be elected a member of Dáil Éireann". The current law making such provision is the Electoral Act, 1992.
  5. ^ "Opposition to Oireachtas amendment grows, poll finds". The Irish Times. 25 October 2011. http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/frontpage/2011/1025/1224306447670.html. Retrieved 25 October 2011. 
  6. ^ "Fianna Fáil remains fourth in party support – Red C poll". thejournal.ie. 23 October 2011. http://www.thejournal.ie/fianna-fail-remains-fourth-in-party-support-red-c-poll-261218-Oct2011/. Retrieved 23 October 2011. 
  7. ^ "Polls install Gallagher as favourite for presidency". 23 October 2011. http://www.irishexaminer.com/breakingnews/ireland/polls-install-gallagher-as-favourite-for-presidency-525436.html#ixzz1bXtIfslx. Retrieved 23 October 2011. 
  8. ^ "Sunday Times/Behaviour and Attitudes poll confirms SF in 2nd place". 9 October 2011. http://www.politics.ie/forum/elections/172491-sunday-times-behaviour-attitudes-poll-confirms-sinn-fein-2nd-place.html. Retrieved 9 October 2011. 
  9. ^ "Sinn Féin emerges as second party of choice in Republic". Irish Times. 7 October 2011. http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/frontpage/2011/1007/1224305391010.html. Retrieved 7 October 2011. 
  10. ^ "Norris & Higgins lead in Áras race poll". RTÉ News. 24 September 2011. http://www.rte.ie/news/2011/0924/president.html. Retrieved 24 September 2011. 
  11. ^ "McGuinness gets Ind support for Áras bid". 17 September 2011. http://www.rte.ie/news/2011/0917/president.html. Retrieved 17 September 2011. 
  12. ^ "Higgins leads two Áras opinion polls but Labour’s support falls". 4 September 2011. http://www.thejournal.ie/higgins-leads-two-aras-opinion-polls-but-labours-support-falls-217487-Sep2011/. Retrieved 4 September 2011. 
  13. ^ "Majority dissatisfied with Govt's performance". RTÉ News. 20 July 2011. http://www.rte.ie/news/2011/0720/politics.html. Retrieved 21 July 2011. 
  14. ^ "Satisfaction with Enda Kenny increases". RTÉ News. 21 June 2011. http://www.rte.ie/news/2011/0621/politics1.html. Retrieved 21 June 2011. 
  15. ^ "Poll shows increase in support for Fine Gael". RTÉ News. 28 May 2011. http://www.rte.ie/news/2011/0528/poll.html. Retrieved 28 May 2011. 
  16. ^ "Poll shows increased support for Fine Gael". RÉ News. 9 April 2011. http://www.rte.ie/news/2011/0409/poll.html. Retrieved 9 April 2011. 

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