New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2010


New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2010
New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2010
New Hampshire
2008 ←
November 2, 2010
→ 2012

  Governor John Lynch.jpg Replace this image male.svg
Nominee John H. Lynch John Stephen
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 239,390 205,433
Percentage 52.6% 45.1%

Governor before election

John H. Lynch
Democratic

Elected Governor

John H. Lynch
Democratic

The New Hampshire gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on November 2, 2010. New Hampshire is one of only two states where the Governor serves for a two-year term (the other being neighboring Vermont).

Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch was elected to a fourth term in 2010.[1]

Lynch won re-election by landslide margins in 2006 and 2008, and has enjoyed historically high approval ratings. In early 2010, his approval rating showed a downward trend, with an April Public Policy poll indicating that Lynch's approval had fallen below 50% (44% approve, 42% disapprove).[2] Since the primary elections in mid-September, Lynch's approval rating has rebounded (51% approve, 38% disapprove).[3]

Contents

Candidates

Democratic Party

  • Governor John Lynch[4]
  • State Rep. Timothy Robertson
  • Frank Sullivan

Republican Party

  • Former Health and Human Services Commissioner John Stephen[5]
  • State Representative Frank Robert Emiro Sr.
  • Businessman Jack Kimball[6]
  • Republican activist Karen Testerman[6]

Libertarian Party

  • Businessman John Babiarz

Primary results

Democratic

Democratic primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage
Democratic John Lynch (incumbent) 49,832 87.5%
Democratic Timothy Robertson 3,771 6.6%
Democratic Frank Sullivan 3,377 5.9%
Totals 56,980 97.3%

Republican

Republican primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage
Republican John Stephen 77,962 61.6%
Republican Jack Kimball 31,581 24.9%
Republican Karen Testerman 12,708 10.0%
Republican Frank Emiro 4,394 3.5%
Totals 126,645 96.7%

General election results

2010 New Hampshire Governor general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic John Lynch 240,346 52.63% -17.57
Republican John Stephen 205,616 45.03% +17.43
Libertarian John Babiarz 10,089 2.2% =
Majority 34,730
Turnout 456,588
Democratic hold Swing

Polling

Republican Primary

Poll source Dates administered John Stephen Jack Kimball Karen Testerman
Public Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 45% 24% 8%
Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 26% 15% 5%
Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 29% 10% 15%

General election and predictions

Poll source Dates administered John Lynch (D) John Stephen (R)
Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2010 51% 45%
WMUR / UNH New Hampshire Election Poll October 7–12, 2010 51% 38%
American Research Group October 3–5, 2010 51% 41%
Granite State Poll October 1, 2010 51% 34%
American Research Group September 22–26, 2010 42% 40%
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2010 48% 46%
Public Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 51% 39%
Rasmussen Reports August 5, 2010 50% 39%
Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 51% 34%
Rasmussen Reports May 26, 2010 47% 35%
Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 47% 36%
Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 47% 37%
Rasmussen Reports March 8, 2010 50% 35%
Granite State Poll January 27-February 3, 2010 50% 30%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid D[8] October 12, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans D[9] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Safe D[10]
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D[11] September 30, 2010
CQ Politics Safe D[12] October 12, 2010
Election Projection Solid D hold[13] October 12, 2010

References

  1. ^ "NH Gov. John Lynch Running for 4th Term - FOX44NOW.COM - Burlington/Plattsburgh News, Weather and Sports". FOX44NOW.COM. http://www.fox44now.com/Global/story.asp?S=12327303&nav=menu660_2. Retrieved August 21, 2010. 
  2. ^ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_423.pdf
  3. ^ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_916.pdf
  4. ^ "Gov. Lynch could face difficult re-election bid » New Hampshire » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA". Eagletribune.com. April 18, 2010. http://www.eagletribune.com/punewsnh/local_story_107195534.html?keyword=secondarystory. Retrieved August 21, 2010. 
  5. ^ "John Stephen for Governor | New Leadership for New Hampshire". Johnstephen.com. http://www.johnstephen.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010. 
  6. ^ a b John Distaso (December 9, 2009). "Testerman steps into the ring in governor's race". The Union Leader. http://www.theunionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Testerman+steps+into+the+ring+in+governor%27s+race&articleId=713cdc3a-58b4-4590-8739-b16947c67672. Retrieved January 1, 2010. 
  7. ^ a b "New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primary Results". Politico. September 14, 2010. http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Governor/2010/NH. Retrieved September 14, 2010. 
  8. ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. http://cookpolitical.com/senate. Retrieved October 12, 2010. 
  9. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/. Retrieved November 1, 2010. 
  10. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html. Retrieved October 12, 2010. 
  11. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/. Retrieved October 12, 2010. 
  12. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate. Retrieved October 12, 2010. 
  13. ^ "The Battle for Capitol Hill - 2010 Senate". ElectionProjection.com. http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/senate10.php. Retrieved October 12, 2010. 

External links

Official campaign sites



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