Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012


Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012

This article is a list of nation-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, presumed to be between incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and Republican as well as third party and independent challengers.

The persons named in the polls have either formally declared their candidacy for president, formed exploratory committees, or have done neither.

Contents

Democratic primary

Poll source Sample
size
Date(s)
administered
Barack
Obama
Hillary
Clinton
Howard
Dean
Bernie
Sanders
Others
Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies
(New Hampshire)
1,002 December 14–15, 2010 59% 28% No opinion (13%)
78% 10% No opinion (12%)
79% 8% No opinion (13%)
Gallup 859 September 25–26, 2010 52% 37% No opinion (10%)

Republican primary

See Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2012 presidential primaries

General election

Two-way race

Poll source Date Democratic candidate  % Republican candidate  % Margin
IBOPE/Zogby International
Margin of Error: ±2.2%
Sample size: 2,064
November 15-17, 2011 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 44% 2
Barack Obama 47% Newt Gingrich 46% 1
Barack Obama 45% Ron Paul 38% 7
Barack Obama 47% Herman Cain 44% 3
Barack Obama 48% Rick Perry 41% 7
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
November 15-16, 2011 Barack Obama 45% Michele Bachmann 33% 12
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Co.
Margin of Error: ±3%
Sample size: 914
November 13-15, 2011 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 44% 2
Barack Obama 46% Newt Gingrich 41% 5
Barack Obama 47% Herman Cain 38% 9
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
November 13-14, 2011 Barack Obama 46% Herman Cain 36% 10
Pew Research
Margin of Error: ±3%
Sample size: 2,001
November 9-14, 2011 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2
Barack Obama 53% Rick Perry 42% 11
Barack Obama 54% Newt Gingrich 42% 12
Barack Obama 54% Herman Cain 42% 12
CNN/Opinion Research
Margin of Error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,036
November 11-13, 2011 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 51% 4
Barack Obama 52% Rick Perry 45% 7
Barack Obama 53% Newt Gingrich 45% 8
Barack Obama 53% Herman Cain 43% 10
Public Policy Polling
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 800
November 10-13, 2011 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43% 3
Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 43% 6
Barack Obama 47% Ron Paul 41% 6
Barack Obama 48% Herman Cain 41% 7
Barack Obama 49% Rick Perry 39% 10
Barack Obama 50% Michele Bachmann 39% 11
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
November 11-12, 2011 Barack Obama 50% Newt Gingrich 38% 12
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
November 9-10, 2011 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 42% 1
McClatchy/Marist College
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 872
November 8-10, 2011 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4
Barack Obama 47% Newt Gingrich 45% 2
Barack Obama 49% Ron Paul 41% 8
Barack Obama 49% Herman Cain 39% 10
Barack Obama 51% Rick Perry 40% 11
Barack Obama 54% Michele Bachmann 35% 19
Politico/George Washington University
Margin of Error: ±3.1%
Sample size: 1,000
November 6-9, 2011 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6
Barack Obama 49% Herman Cain 40% 9
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
November 7-8, 2011 Barack Obama 48% Herman Cain 37% 11
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
November 5-6, 2011 Barack Obama 44% Rick Perry 35% 9
NBC News/Wall Street Journal
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 1,000
November 2-5, 2011 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6
Barack Obama 53% Herman Cain 38% 15
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
November 3, 2011 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 41% 1
ABC News/Washington Post
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 1,004
October 31- November 3, 2011 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 47% 1
Barack Obama 50% Herman Cain 45% 5
Barack Obama 51% Rick Perry 43% 8
Reuters/Ipsos
Margin of Error: ±3.2%
Sample size: 937
October 31- November 3, 2011 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 44% 1
Barack Obama 46% Herman Cain 41% 5
Barack Obama 47% Rick Perry 41% 6
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 30-31, 2011 Barack Obama 43% Herman Cain 38% 5
Quinnipac University
Margin of Error: ±3.3%
Sample size: 2,294
October 25-31, 2011 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 42% 5
Barack Obama 50% Herman Cain 40% 10
Barack Obama 52% Newt Gingrich 37% 15
Barack Obama 52% Rick Perry 36% 16
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 28-29, 2011 Barack Obama 44% Ron Paul 35% 9
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 28, 2011 Barack Obama 45% Rick Perry 38% 7
USA/Gallup
Margin of Error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 1,169
October 20–27, 2011 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied
Barack Obama 48% Herman Cain 46% 2
Barack Obama 49% Rick Perry 45% 4
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 25, 2011 Barack Obama 39% Jon Huntsman 32% 7
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 24–25, 2011 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 44% 2
Democracy Corps/Center for American Progress/GQR
Margin of Error: ?
Sample size: 1,000
October 15–18, 2011 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied
Associated Press/GfK/Roper
Margin of Error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 13-17, 2011 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 45% 3
Barack Obama 49% Herman Cain 43% 6
Barack Obama 51% Rick Perry 42% 9
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 14–15, 2011 Barack Obama 41% Herman Cain 43% 2
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 12–13, 2011 Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 34% 15
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 10–11, 2011 Barack Obama 49% Rick Perry 35% 14
TIME
(vote for)
Margin of Error: ?
Sample size: ?
October 9-10, 2011 Hillary Rodham Clinton 55% Mitt Romney 38% 17
Hillary Rodham Clinton 58% Rick Perry 32% 26
Hillary Rodham Clinton 56% Herman Cain 34% 32
Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43% 3
Barack Obama 50% Rick Perry 38% 12
Barack Obama 49% Herman Cain 37% 12
Time Magazine/ABT SRBI
(lean toward)
Margin of Error: ?
Sample size: 838
October 9–10, 2011 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44% 4
Barack Obama 51% Rick Perry 40% 9
Barack Obama 50% Herman Cain 38% 12
Public Policy Polling
Margin of Error: ±3.7%
Sample size: 700
October 7–10, 2011 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied
Barack Obama 48% Herman Cain 42% 6
Barack Obama 47% Ron Paul 39% 8
Barack Obama 49% Rick Perry 40% 9
Barack Obama 50% Newt Gingrich 39% 11
Barack Obama 50% Michele Bachmann 38% 12
NBC News/Wall Street Journal
Margin of Error: ±3.1%
Sample size: 1,000
October 6–10, 2011 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% 2
Barack Obama 49% Herman Cain 38% 11
Barack Obama 51% Rick Perry 39% 12
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 8–9, 2011 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 41% 2
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 6–7, 2011 Barack Obama 42% Herman Cain 39% 3
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 4–5, 2011 Barack Obama 42% Gary Johnson 27% 15
Quinnipac University
Margin of Error: ±2.4%
Sample size: 2,118
September 27 – October 5, 2011 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 46% 4
Barack Obama 45% Rick Perry 44% 1
Quinnipiac University
Margin of Error: ±2.1%
Sample size: 2,118
September 27 – October 4, 2011 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 46% 4
Barack Obama 42% Chris Christie 45% 3
Barack Obama 45% Rick Perry 44% 1
Pew Research
Margin of Error: ±2.5%
Sample size: 2,410
Sept 22 – Oct 4, 2011 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 48% Tied
Barack Obama 50% Rick Perry 46% 4
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
October 2–3, 2011 Barack Obama 45% Rick Santorum 34% 11
ABC News/Washington Post
Margin of Error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 1002
September 29 – October 2, 2011 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 48% 2
Barack Obama 45% Chris Christie 45% Tied
Barack Obama 49% Rick Perry 46% 3
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
September 30 – October 1, 2011 Barack Obama 43% Rick Perry 37% 6
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
September 26–27, 2011 Barack Obama 45% Rick Perry 38% 5
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Co.
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 925
September 25–27, 2011 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 42% 3
Barack Obama 47% Rick Perry 39% 8
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
September 24–25, 2011 Barack Obama 44% Ron Paul 34% 10
CNN/Opinion Research
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 917
September 23–25, 2011
Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1
Barack Obama 51% Ron Paul 47% 4
Barack Obama 51% Rick Perry 46% 5
Barack Obama 54% Michele Bachmann 42% 8
Barack Obama 58% Sarah Palin 37% 21
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
September 20–21, 2011 Barack Obama 48% Michele Bachmann 32% 16
Harris Interactive
Margin of Error: ?
Sample size: 2,462
September 12–19, 2011
Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 53% 6
Barack Obama 49% Ron Paul 51% 2
Barack Obama 51% Rick Perry 49% 2
Barack Obama 54% Herman Cain 46% 8
Barack Obama 54% Michele Bachmann 46% 8
Barack Obama 54% Jon Huntsman 46% 8
Barack Obama 54% Rick Santorum 46% 8
Barack Obama 55% Newt Gingrich 45% 10
Barack Obama 57% Sarah Palin 43% 14
USA Today/Gallup
Margin of Error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 889
September 15–18, 2011 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 49% 2
Barack Obama 50% Rick Perry 45% 5
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
September 16–17, 2011 Barack Obama 43% Jon Huntsman 35% 8
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
September 14–15, 2011 Barack Obama 46% Rick Perry 39% 7
Barack Obama 46% Michele Bachmann 33% 13
McClatchy/Marist College
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,042
September 13–14, 2011
Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% 2
Barack Obama 49% Sarah Palin 44% 5
Barack Obama 50% Rick Perry 41% 9
Barack Obama 53% Michele Bachmann 40% 13
Bloomberg News
Margin of Error: ±3.1%
Sample size: 997
September 9–12, 2011 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 43% 5
Barack Obama 49% Rick Perry 40% 9
Ipsos Public Affairs
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 932
September 8–12, 2011
Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6
Barack Obama 49% Ron Paul 42% 7
Barack Obama 50% Rick Perry 42% 8
Barack Obama 51% Jon Huntsman 37% 14
Barack Obama 54% Michele Bachmann 36% 18
Public Policy Polling
Margin of Error: ±3.8%
Sample size: 665
September 8–11, 2011
Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4
Barack Obama 52% Rick Perry 41% 11
Barack Obama 53% Newt Gingrich 41% 12
Barack Obama 53% Michele Bachmann 39% 14
Washington Post/ABC News
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 1,001
August 29 – September 1, 2011
Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 49% 4
Barack Obama 46% Rick Perry 47% 1
Barack Obama 47% Jon Huntsman 42% 5
Barack Obama 50% Michele Bachmann 44% 6
Barack Obama 53% Sarah Palin 41% 12
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,000
August 23–30, 2011
Barack Obama 41% Rick Perry 44% 3
Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 39% 4
Barack Obama 42% Herman Cain 35% 7
Barack Obama 46% Michele Bachmann 38% 8
Quinnipiac
Margin of Error: ±1.9%
Sample size: 2,730
August 16–27, 2011
Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied
Barack Obama 45% Rick Perry 42% 3
Barack Obama 48% Michele Bachmann 39% 9
Barack Obama 51% Sarah Palin 37% 14
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,000
August 17–22, 2011
Barack Obama 43% Rick Perry 40% 3
Barack Obama 43% Michele Bachmann 39% 4
Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 38% 8
Public Policy Polling
Margin of Error: ±3.7%
Sample size: 700
August 18–21, 2011
Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied
Barack Obama 49% Rick Perry 43% 6
Barack Obama 50% Michele Bachmann 42% 8
Barack Obama 49% Herman Cain 39% 10
Barack Obama 53% Sarah Palin 40% 13
Gallup
Margin of Error: ±4%
Sample size: 1,000
August 17–18, 2011
Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 48% 2
Barack Obama 47% Rick Perry 47% Tied
Barack Obama 47% Ron Paul 45% 2
Barack Obama 48% Michele Bachmann 44% 4
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
August 15–16, 2011 Barack Obama 49% Ron Paul 48% 1
Barack Obama 50% Sarah Palin 33% 17
CNN/ORC
Margin of Error: ±4.5%
Sample size: 1,008
August 5–7, 2011 Barack Obama 45% Rudy Giuliani 51% 6
Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 48% 1
Barack Obama 51% Rick Perry 46% 5
Barack Obama 51% Michele Bachmann 45% 6
Barack Obama 55% Sarah Palin 41% 14
McClatchy/Marist
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 1,000
August 2–4, 2011 Barack Obama 48% Rudy Giuliani 43% 5
Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 41% 5
Barack Obama 49% Tim Pawlenty 36% 13
Barack Obama 52% Michele Bachmann 35% 17
Barack Obama 52% Rick Perry 33% 19
Quinnipiac University
Margin of Error: ±3.6%
Sample size: 1,417
August 1–2, 2011 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 44% Tied
Barack Obama 44% Rick Perry 39% 5
Public Policy Polling
Margin of Error: ±3.2%
Sample size: 928
July 15–17, 2011 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied
Barack Obama 48% Michele Bachmann 41% 7
Barack Obama 48% Tim Pawlenty 39% 9
Barack Obama 48% Herman Cain 36% 12
Barack Obama 53% Sarah Palin 37% 16
Washington Post/ABC News
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 1,001
July 14–17, 2011 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2
Barack Obama 52% Ron Paul 42% 10
Barack Obama 52% Rick Perry 40% 13
Barack Obama 55% Michele Bachmann 40% 15
NBC News/WSJ
Margin of Error: ±3.1%
Sample size: 1,000
July 14–17, 2011 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 41% 7
Barack Obama 50% Michele Bachmann 35% 15
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of Error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1,000
June 24–July 12,2011 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 43% 1
Quinnipiac
Margin of Error: ±2.0%
Sample size: 2,311
July 5–11, 2011 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 41% 6
Barack Obama 50% Michele Bachmann 38% 12
Barack Obama 50% Rick Perry 37% 13
Barack Obama 53% Sarah Palin 34% 19
McClatchy-Marist
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 801
June 15–23, 2011 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 42% 4
Barack Obama 47% Tim Pawlenty 33% 14
Barack Obama 49% Michele Bachmann 37% 12
Barack Obama 48% Rick Perry 39% 9
Barack Obama 48% Rudy Giuliani 41% 7
Barack Obama 47% Sarah Palin 30% 17
NBC News/Wall Street Journal
Margin of Error: ±4.3%
Sample size: 520
June 9–13, 2011 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6
Barack Obama 50% Tim Pawlenty 37% 13
Public Policy Polling
Margin of Error: ±4.3%
Sample size: 520
June 9–12, 2011 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 45% 2
Barack Obama 50% Tim Pawlenty 39% 11
Barack Obama 52% Sarah Palin 38% 14
Barack Obama 52% Newt Gingrich 39% 13
Barack Obama 48% Herman Cain 38% 10
Fox News
Margin of Error: ±3%
Sample size: 912
June 5–7, 2011 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 41% 7
Barack Obama 50% Tim Pawlenty 32% 19
Barack Obama 47% Rudy Giuliani 43% 4
Barack Obama 56% Sarah Palin 35% 21
Barack Obama 53% Newt Gingrich 34% 19
Barack Obama 49% Chris Christie 34% 15
Reuters/Ipsos
Margin of Error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,132
June 3–6, 2011 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 38% 13
Barack Obama 53% Tim Pawlenty 34% 19
Barack Obama 52% Jon Huntsman 34% 18
Barack Obama 57% Sarah Palin 34% 23
Barack Obama 55% Newt Gingrich 34% 21
Barack Obama 53% Michele Bachmann 33% 20
Barack Obama 54% Ron Paul 36% 18
Barack Obama 54% Rick Perry 34% 20
Barack Obama 53% Herman Cain 34% 19
Washington Post-ABC
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 1,002
May 23–25, 2011 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47% Tied
Barack Obama 50% Newt Gingrich 44% 6
Barack Obama 50% Jon Huntsman 40% 10
Barack Obama 50% Tim Pawlenty 41% 9
Barack Obama 51% Michele Bachmann 40% 11
Barack Obama 55% Sarah Palin 40% 15
Public Policy Polling
Margin of Error: ±4%
Sample size: 600
May 23–25, 2011 Barack Obama 51% Newt Gingrich 37% 14
Barack Obama 54% Sarah Palin 37% 17
Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42% 7
The Economist/YouGov
Margin of Error: ±3.7%
Sample size: 1,000
May 14–17, 2011 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 42% 3
Barack Obama 48% Ron Paul 36% 12
Barack Obama 51% Newt Gingrich 35% 16
Suffolk University
Margin of Error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,070
May 10–17, 2011 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43% 3
Barack Obama 47% Tim Pawlenty 31% 16
Barack Obama 50% Michele Bachmann 30% 20
Barack Obama 52% Newt Gingrich 38% 14
Barack Obama 48% Mitch Daniels 30% 18
Harris Interactive
Margin of Error: ?
Sample size: 2,184
May 9–16, 2011 Barack Obama 59% Donald Trump 41% 18
Barack Obama 59% Jon Huntsman 41% 18
Barack Obama 59% Herman Cain 41% 18
Barack Obama 58% Sarah Palin 42% 16
Barack Obama 58% Tim Pawlenty 42% 16
Barack Obama 58% Michele Bachmann 42% 16
Barack Obama 57% Rick Santorum 43% 14
Barack Obama 57% Gary Johnson 43% 14
Barack Obama 57% Mitch Daniels 43% 14
Barack Obama 56% Newt Gingrich 44% 12
Barack Obama 55% Ron Paul 45% 10
Barack Obama 52% Mike Huckabee 48% 4
Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 49% 2
Barack Obama 49% Rudy Giuliani 51% 2
The Tarrance Group & Lake Research Partners
Margin of Error: ±3.1%
Sample size: 1,000
May 8–12, 2011 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 40% 12
Barack Obama 52% Tim Pawlenty 38% 14
Ipsos
Margin of Error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,029
May 5–9, 2011 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 38% 13
Barack Obama 51% Tim Pawlenty 33% 18
Barack Obama 51% Jon Huntsman 30% 21
Barack Obama 51% Mike Huckabee 39% 12
Barack Obama 54% Sarah Palin 35% 19
Barack Obama 51% Mitch Daniels 33% 18
Barack Obama 53% Newt Gingrich 35% 18
Barack Obama 54% Michele Bachmann 33% 19
Barack Obama 57% Donald Trump 30% 27
Public Policy Polling
Margin of Error: ±3.4%
Sample size: 814
May 5–8, 2011 Barack Obama 49% Mike Huckabee 42% 7
Barack Obama 54% Sarah Palin 37% 17
Barack Obama 52% Newt Gingrich 38% 14
Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 42% 5
Barack Obama 48% Mitch Daniels 34% 14
Barack Obama 52% Michele Bachmann 38% 14
Public Policy Polling
Margin of Error: ±3.4%
Sample size: 814
May 5–8, 2011 Dennis Kucinich 43% Sarah Palin 36% 7
Dennis Kucinich 40% Donald Trump 36% 4
Washington Post
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 1,001
April 14–17, 2011 Barack Obama 56% Sarah Palin 37% 19
Barack Obama 54% Newt Gingrich 39% 15
Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 45% 4
Barack Obama 50% Mike Huckabee 44% 6
Barack Obama 52% Tim Pawlenty 39% 13
Barack Obama 52% Donald Trump 39% 13
Barack Obama 52% Michele Bachmann 38% 14
Newsweek/Daily Beast
Margin of Error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 918
February 12–15, 2011 Barack Obama 46% Mike Huckabee 46% Tied
Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 47% 2
Barack Obama 51% Sarah Palin 40% 11
Barack Obama 43% Donald Trump 41% 2
Public Policy Polling
Margin of Error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 600
February 11–14, 2011 Barack Obama 47% Mike Huckabee 44% 3
Barack Obama 52% Sarah Palin 40% 12
Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 40% 9
Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 41% 5
Barack Obama 48% Ron Paul 39% 9
Barack Obama 48% Donald Trump 34% 14
Barack Obama 50% Jeb Bush 36% 14
Barack Obama 48% George W. Bush[1] 44% 4
Fox News Poll
Margin of Error: ±3%
Sample size: 911
February 7–9, 2011 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 41% 7
Barack Obama 49% Mike Huckabee 41% 8
Barack Obama 56% Sarah Palin 45% 11
Barack Obama 55% Newt Gingrich 35% 20
Barack Obama 54% Jeb Bush 34% 20
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of error: Not reported
Sample size: Not Reported
January 3–4, 2011 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 44% 2
January 7–10, 2011 Barack Obama 49% Sarah Palin 38% 11
January 11–14, 2011 Barack Obama 43% Mike Huckabee 43% Tied
January 15–16, 2011 Barack Obama 47% Newt Gingrich 39% 8
January 17–18, 2011 Barack Obama 44% Ron Paul 35% 9
January 19–20, 2011 Barack Obama 47% Tim Pawlenty 32% 15
January 21–22, 2011 Barack Obama 42% Mitch Daniels 25% 19
January 23–24, 2011 Barack Obama 45% John Thune 31% 14
January 27–28, 2011 Barack Obama 42% Herman Cain 25% 17
January 29–30, 2011 Barack Obama 47% Haley Barbour 30% 17
January 31–February 1, 2011 Barack Obama 43% Jon Huntsman 33% 10
McClatchy-Marist
Margin of error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 1018
January 6−10, 2011 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 38% 13
Barack Obama 50% Mike Huckabee 38% 12
Barack Obama 56% Sarah Palin 30% 26
NBC News/Wall Street Journal
Margin of error: ±3.10%
Sample size: 1000
December 9−13, 2010 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 40% 7
Barack Obama 55% Sarah Palin 33% 22
Barack Obama 47% John Thune 27% 20
McClatchy-Marist
Margin of error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 873
December 2−8, 2010 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 46% 2
Barack Obama 47% Mike Huckabee 43% 4
Barack Obama 52% Sarah Palin 40% 12
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±3.7%
Sample size: 707
November 19–21, 2010 Barack Obama 48% Mike Huckabee 45% 3
Barack Obama 51% Sarah Palin 42% 9
Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 43% 6
Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 46% 1
Barack Obama 48% Marco Rubio 37% 11
Politico
Margin of error: ±3.1%
Sample size: 1,000
November 8–11, 2010 Barack Obama 46% Sarah Palin 33% 13
Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 32% 8
Barack Obama 39% Tim Pawlenty 21% 18
Barack Obama 40% Mike Huckabee 34% 6
Barack Obama 40% Haley Barbour 20% 20
Newsmax/SurveyUSA November 3–4, 2010 Barack Obama 40% Hillary Rodham Clinton[2] 60% 20
Newsmax/SurveyUSA Barack Obama 48% David Petraeus 52% 4
Newsmax/SurveyUSA
Margin of error: ±3%
Sample size: 1000
Barack Obama 45% Bill Gates 55% 10
Barack Obama 48% Warren Buffett 52% 4
Barack Obama 53% Donald Trump 47% 6
Barack Obama 53% Alan Mulally 47% 6
Barack Obama 56% Michael Bloomberg 44% 12
Newsmax/SurveyUSA
Margin of error: ±3%
Sample size: 1000
Barack Obama 54% Bill O'Reilly 46% 8
Barack Obama 55% Glenn Beck 45% 10
Barack Obama 52% Sarah Palin 48% 4
Barack Obama 56% Lou Dobbs 44% 12
Barack Obama 58% Rush Limbaugh 42% 16
Barack Obama 60% Jay Leno 40% 20
Barack Obama 61% Jon Stewart 39% 22
Barack Obama 63% Oprah Winfrey 37% 26
CNN/Opinion Research Corp.
Margin of error: ±3%
Sample size: 921
October 27–30, 2010 Barack Obama 44% Mike Huckabee 52% 8
Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 50% 5
Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 47% 2
Barack Obama 52% Sarah Palin 44% 8
Bloomberg
Margin of error: ±3.7%
Sample size: 721
October 7–10, 2010 Barack Obama 51% Sarah Palin 35% 16
Fox News
Margin of error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 900
September 28–29, 2010 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 40% 1
Barack Obama 48% Sarah Palin 35% 13
Barack Obama 43% Mike Huckabee 40% 3
Barack Obama 45% Jeb Bush 37% 8
Barack Obama 42% Chris Christie 30% 12
Politico
Margin of error: ±3.1%
Sample size: 1,000
September 19–22, 2010 Barack Obama 50% Sarah Palin 40% 10
Barack Obama 46% Mitch Daniels 39% 7
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 590
September 10–13, 2010 Barack Obama 44% Mike Huckabee 47% 3
Barack Obama 49% Sarah Palin 43% 6
Barack Obama 47% Newt Gingrich 43% 4
Barack Obama 48% Glenn Beck 39% 9
Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43% 3
Politico
Margin of error: ±2.4%
Sample size: 1668
August 6–11, 2010 Barack Obama 50% Sarah Palin 33% 17
Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 33% 9
Barack Obama 42% Tim Pawlenty 23% 19
Barack Obama 43% Mike Huckabee 35% 8
Barack Obama 43% Haley Barbour 21% 22
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 606
August 6–9, 2010 Barack Obama 47% Mike Huckabee 44% 3
Barack Obama 49% Sarah Palin 43% 6
Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 42% 7
Barack Obama 47% Chris Christie 31% 16
Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 42% 3
Barack Obama 46% Basil Marceaux 21% 25
The Economist/YouGov Poll
Sample size: 1,000
July 17–20, 2010 Barack Obama 41.2% Sarah Palin 31.0% 10.2
Zogby Interactive
Sample size: 8,487
July 16–19, 2010 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 43% 2
Barack Obama 48% Sarah Palin 37% 11
Barack Obama 46% Mike Huckabee 37% 9
Barack Obama 47% George W. Bush[1] 38% 9
Barack Obama 46% Tom Selleck 23% 23
Barack Obama 45% Clint Eastwood 28% 17
Barack Obama 45% Chuck Norris 29% 16
Politico
Margin of error: ±3.1%
Sample size: 1,011
July 9–14, 2010 Barack Obama 48% Sarah Palin 36% 12
Barack Obama 39% Tim Pawlenty 21% 18
Barack Obama 39% Haley Barbour 21% 18
Barack Obama 39% Mike Huckabee 35% 4
Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 35% 4
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±3.8%
Sample size: 667
July 9–12, 2010 Barack Obama 45% Mike Huckabee 47% 2
Barack Obama 46% Sarah Palin 46% Tied
Barack Obama 45% Newt Gingrich 46% 1
Barack Obama 44% Jan Brewer 36% 8
Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 46% 3
TIME
Sample size: 1,003
July 12–13, 2010 Barack Obama 55% Sarah Palin 34% 21
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±3.8%
Sample size: 650
June 4–7, 2010 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 42% 3
Barack Obama 50% Sarah Palin 41% 9
Barack Obama 47% Newt Gingrich 39% 8
Barack Obama 46% Mike Huckabee 44% 2
Barack Obama 46% Ron Paul 36% 10
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±3.7%
Sample size: 707
May 7–9, 2010 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 44% 2
Barack Obama 50% Sarah Palin 43% 7
Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 42% 7
Barack Obama 46% Mike Huckabee 45% 1
Barack Obama 46% Gary Johnson 28% 18
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,000
April 14, 2010 Barack Obama 42% Ron Paul 41% 1
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation
Margin of error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,008 registered voters
April 9–11, 2010 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 45% 8
Barack Obama 54% Mike Huckabee 45% 9
Barack Obama 55% Sarah Palin 42% 13
Barack Obama 55% Newt Gingrich 43% 12
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±3.9%
Sample size: 622
April 9–11, 2010 Barack Obama 45% Mike Huckabee 47% 2
Barack Obama 47% Sarah Palin 45% 2
Barack Obama 45% Newt Gingrich 45% Tied
Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 45% 1
Clarus Research Group
Margin of error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,050
March 17–20, 2010 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 41% 4
Barack Obama 52% Sarah Palin 34% 18
Barack Obama 48% Newt Gingrich 36% 12
Barack Obama 47% Mike Huckabee 39% 8
Barack Obama 49% Jeb Bush 37% 12
Harris Interactive
Sample size: 2,344
March 10–12, 2010 Barack Obama 52% Sarah Palin 35% 17
Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 39% 7
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±2.6%
Sample size: 1,403
March 12–14, 2010 Barack Obama 46% Mike Huckabee 44% 2
Barack Obama 49% Sarah Palin 41% 8
Barack Obama 45% Mitch Daniels 34% 11
Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 44% Tied
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±3.6%
Sample size: 743
February 13–15, 2010 Barack Obama 46% Mike Huckabee 43% 3
Barack Obama 50% Sarah Palin 43% 7
Barack Obama 46% John Thune 28% 18
Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 43% 2
Newsmax/Zogby
Margin of error: ±1.5%
Sample size: 4,163
January 2010 Barack Obama 46.5% Scott Brown 44.6% 1.9
Public Policy Polling
Matgin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 1,151
January 18–19, 2010 Barack Obama 44% Mike Huckabee 45% 1
Barack Obama 49% Sarah Palin 41% 8
Barack Obama 44% David Petraeus 34% 10
Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 42% 2
Fox News
Margin of error: ±3%
Sample size: 900
January 12–13, 2010 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 35% 12
Barack Obama 55% Sarah Palin 31% 24
Barack Obama 53% Newt Gingrich 29% 24
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 1,253
December 4–7, 2009 Barack Obama 46% Mike Huckabee 45% 1
Barack Obama 50% Sarah Palin 44% 6
Barack Obama 48% Tim Pawlenty 35% 13
Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 42% 5
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of error: ±3.0%
Sample size:800
November 24, 2009 Barack Obama 45% Mike Huckabee 41% 4
Barack Obama 46% Sarah Palin 43% 3
Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 44% Tied
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±3.0%
Sample size:1,066
November 13–15, 2009 Barack Obama 49% Mike Huckabee 44% 5
Barack Obama 51% Sarah Palin 43% 8
Barack Obama 46% Ron Paul 38% 8
Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 43% 5
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 766
October 16–19, 2009 Barack Obama 47% Mike Huckabee 43% 4
Barack Obama 52% Sarah Palin 40% 12
Barack Obama 50% Tim Pawlenty 30% 20
Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 40% 8
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±3.9%
Sample size: 621
September 18–21, 2009 Barack Obama 50% Jeb Bush 37% 13
Barack Obama 48% Mike Huckabee 41% 7
Barack Obama 53% Sarah Palin 38% 15
Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 38% 10
Clarus Research Group

Margin of error: ±3.1%
Sample size: 1,003

August 14–18, 2009 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 38% 9
Barack Obama 53% Sarah Palin 34% 19
Barack Obama 52% Newt Gingrich 34% 18
Barack Obama 48% Mike Huckabee 38% 10
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ±3.3%
Sample size: 909

August 14–17, 2009 Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 41% 8
Barack Obama 47% Mike Huckabee 44% 3
Barack Obama 52% Sarah Palin 38% 14
Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 40% 7
Marist
Margin of error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 854
August 3–6, 2009 Barack Obama 56% Sarah Palin 33% 23
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,000
July 30–31, 2009 Hillary Rodham Clinton 51% Sarah Palin 39% 12
Rasmussen Reports

Margin of error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,000

July 18–19, 2009 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45% Tied
Barack Obama 48% Sarah Palin 42% 6
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ±4.1%
Sample size: 577

July 15–16, 2009 Barack Obama 50% Newt Gingrich 42% 8
Barack Obama 48% Mike Huckabee 42% 6
Barack Obama 51% Sarah Palin 43% 8
Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 40% 9
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ±3.9%
Sample size: 638

June 12–16, 2009 Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 41% 8
Barack Obama 50% Mike Huckabee 43% 7
Barack Obama 52% Sarah Palin 40% 12
Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 40% 8
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ±3.1%
Sample size: 1,000

May 14–18, 2009 Barack Obama 53% Newt Gingrich 36% 17
Barack Obama 52% Mike Huckabee 39% 13
Barack Obama 56% Sarah Palin 37% 19
Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 35% 18
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ±3.7%
Sample size: 686

April 17–19, 2009 Barack Obama 52% Newt Gingrich 39% 13
Barack Obama 49% Mike Huckabee 42% 7
Barack Obama 53% Sarah Palin 41% 12
Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 39% 11
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ±3.7%
Sample size: 691

March 13–15, 2009 Barack Obama 55% Sarah Palin 35% 20

Three-way race

Poll source Date Democratic candidate  % Republican candidate  % Third party/independent candidate  % Lead margin
NBC/Wall Street Journal
November 2011 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 32% Ron Paul 18% 12
Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 35% Michael Bloomberg 13% 9
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±3.4%
Sample size: 814
May 5-8, 2011 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 33% Donald Trump 16% 13
Newsweek/Daily Beast
Margin of error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 918
February 12–15, 2011 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 38% Donald Trump 8% 6
Barack Obama 44% Sarah Palin 21% Donald Trump 20% 23
Clarus
Margin of error: ±3.1%
Sample size: 1000
December 10–16, 2010 Barack Obama 39% Mitt Romney 36% Michael Bloomberg 13% 3
Barack Obama 42% Sarah Palin 31% Michael Bloomberg 18% 11
McClatchy-Marist
Margin of error: 3.5%
Sample size: 829
September 30–October 5, 2010 Barack Obama 44% Sarah Palin 29% Michael Bloomberg 18% 15
Fox News
Margin of error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 900
September 28–29, 2010 Barack Obama 40% Sarah Palin 28% Michael Bloomberg 18% 12
Fox News
Margin of error: ±3.0%
Sample size: 900
September 28–29, 2010 Barack Obama 30% Sarah Palin 29% Hillary Clinton 27% 1
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 606
August 6–9, 2010 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 36% Ron Paul 13% 6
Harris Interactive[dead link]
Sample size: 2,344
March 10–12, 2010 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 24% Sarah Palin[3] 18% 21
Marist Poll
Margin of error: ±3.5%
Sample size: 910
Feb 1-3, 2010 Barack Obama 44% Sarah Palin 29% Michael Bloomberg 15% 15
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of error: ±3%
Sample size: 800
November 24, 2009 Barack Obama 44% Sarah Palin 37% Lou Dobbs 12% 7
Barack Obama 42% Mike Huckabee 36% Lou Dobbs 12% 6
Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 34% Lou Dobbs 14% 8
Rasmussen Reports
Margin of error: ±3%
Sample size: 1,000
July 18–19, 2009 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 33% Sarah Palin 16% 11

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b George W. Bush is not eligible to run in 2012 because he has served two terms as president.
  2. ^ Question was posed as a general election question.
  3. ^ Palin is listed as the candidate of the Tea Party.

External links


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